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Citi has revised its stablecoin market forecast and now expects the sector to soar 13x by 2030, reaching a market capitalization of as excessive as $4 trillion.
The financial institution cites faster-than-expected adoption in funds and a rising reliance on decentralized finance as key elements behind the surge, whereas elevating its bull-case forecast by $300 billion to $4 trillion by 2030.
“We argued that 2025 could be blockchain’s ChatGPT second, with stablecoins igniting the shift,” the report mentioned. “Now that transformation is unfolding at a outstanding tempo. Cryptocurrency firm listings, report fundraising and breakthroughs in expertise all counsel that institutional adoption is accelerating.”
In its base case, it see the market surging to $1.9 trillion by 2030, up from a forecast of $1.6 trillion beforehand.
🚨 JUST IN: Citi initiatives a $1.9 TRILLION stablecoin market by 2030
Present market cap: $280B pic.twitter.com/63ZWJ1ieDb
— Bitcoin Archive (@BTC_Archive) September 25, 2025
The change within the projection comes as partial deposit substitution within the US and abroad accounts for 45% of the bottom case, with modeling indicating that 2.5% of 2030 US financial institution deposits will shift to stablecoins.
Continued crypto market growth will contribute 40% of development by a 20% improve in annual issuance will increase, whereas 15% comes from banknote substitution.
Stablecoins: $200 Trillion In Transactions By 2030
If stablecoins obtain a velocity just like that of conventional fiat currencies, they might allow annual transactions of as much as $100 trillion beneath the bottom case and $200 trillion in a bull case by 20230, Citi mentioned.
However the report was additionally eager to notice that stablecoins gained’t dominate finance.
”The evolution of digital belongings – stablecoins, tokenized deposits, deposit tokens – feels in some methods just like the early days of the dotcom increase,” it mentioned. ”Skeptics as soon as once more proclaim that banks will probably be disintermediated. However we don’t consider crypto will burn down the present system. Relatively it’s serving to us reimagine it.”
Stablecoins aren’t the reply to all the things, the report mentioned, arguing that home client funds in lots of nations work nicely, are already real-time, 24×7, and low value.
Stablecoins could also be a significant addition to the finance toolkit, it mentioned, particularly for digitally native corporations and traders, in addition to frontier market households in search of a straightforward means maintain {dollars}, however for a lot of, financial institution tokens – deposit tokens, tokenized deposits and related – will probably be a better integration.
”Cross-border funds are a unique matter, however fintechs and large banks have made speedy progress right here too,” it mentioned.
Citi’s report notes that financial institution tokens, reminiscent of tokenized deposits, could in the end surpass stablecoins in transaction volumes. Such a shift may very well be because of the rising company demand for compliance with rules and the necessity for real-time settlement.
Citi’s report additionally underscored the continued position of the US greenback, as most on-chain cash stays dollar-denominated.
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