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Bitcoin struggles below $80,000 amid institutional withdrawal

by Catatonic Times
May 15, 2026
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Key takeaways

Bitcoin has dipped under $80,000 after being rejected by the important thing 200-day EMA provide zone.
US-listed spot ETFs recorded an outflow of $635 million on Wednesday.

Bitcoin (BTC) fell under $80,000 on Thursday after failing to beat a key overhead provide space earlier this week. 

The pullback is attributed to fading institutional demand, with spot Change Traded Funds (ETFs) experiencing important outflows, in addition to a surge in merchants’ profit-taking exercise, rising promoting stress on the main cryptocurrency.

Highest single-day ETF outflow in three months indicators weakening institutional demand

Institutional demand for Bitcoin has weakened, with spot ETFs recording an enormous outflow of $635.23 million on Wednesday, the best single-day withdrawal for the reason that finish of January. 

In accordance with CoinGlass knowledge, this marks the second consecutive day of withdrawals this week. If outflows persist or intensify, Bitcoin’s value correction may proceed, additional amplifying the bearish stress.

Revenue-taking amongst Bitcoin holders has surged, additional including to the promoting stress. CryptoQuant’s weekly report highlights that 14,600 BTC had been realized in every day earnings on Might 4, the best determine since December 10. 

The 37% rally from the April lows has introduced Bitcoin holders again into worthwhile territory, triggering a wave of promoting. This sort of conduct usually precedes additional value declines, as merchants capitalize on their features.

Bitcoin value forecast: BTC may dip under $79,000

Bitcoin is buying and selling at $79,458 on Thursday, having confronted rejection from the overhead provide zone. 

The cryptocurrency has corrected for 3 consecutive days this week however remains to be holding above the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Shifting Averages (EMAs), that are clustered slightly below $76,800. 

Regardless of this, Bitcoin stays capped under the 200-day EMA at $81,986 and the important thing 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $83,437.

Whereas the broader uptrend stays intact, the technical outlook suggests a cautious strategy. The Relative Power Index (RSI) hovers within the mid-50s, indicating a light bullish bias, however the Shifting Common Convergence Divergence (MACD) line remains to be in adverse territory, hinting at tentative upside momentum.

If the bearish development persists, quick help is discovered on the 50% Fibonacci retracement stage round $78,962, adopted by the 100-day EMA at $76,756 and the 50-day EMA at $76,479. 

If promoting accelerates, additional help lies on the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement close to $74,487 and the damaged upward trendline round $70,171.

BTC/USD 4H Chart

On the upside, bulls have to clear the 200-day EMA at $81,986 to ease quick stress. Resistance then emerges on the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $83,437 and the horizontal barrier close to $84,410. 

A every day shut above this stage would strengthen the case for a renewed push towards the January highs of $97,924.

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