Monero (XMR) is confronting what key voices on X describe as a 51% assault from the Qubic mining pool. Bitcoin developer Peter Todd set the tone early, writing: “Attention-grabbing. Apparently Monero simply had a giant reorg too, I assume associated to this assault.” When requested whether or not Qubic had definitively crossed the 51% threshold, Todd cautioned that real-time dominance is tough to pin down: “That’s inherently troublesome to measure. PoW is probabilistic.”
Monero Underneath Siege As Qubic Claims 51% Management
A extensively circulated publish from an account styling itself as Coffeinated Person sketched the alleged playbook and economics in stark phrases: “Qubic simply reached 51% share of Monero. It is a large feat. They would be the first to govern a cryptocurrency with a 51% assault. They intend to orphan all blocks from each different miner, making themselves the one mining entity of Monero.” The identical publish asserted a profit-split and buyback/burn mechanic round QUBIC tokens: “They’re 3X extra worthwhile than mining Monero immediately. They’re giving half the revenue to miners and promoting the opposite half of the revenue to purchase QUBIC and ship it to the burn pockets.”
It prolonged the declare into concrete issuance math and greenback figures: “In the event that they mine 100% of the Monero blocks this offers them 432 Monero mined per day. That is $118,342.08 on the present Monero worth. They hold 50% of that and provides the remainder to miners making their revenue $59,171.04 of Qubic being burned daily. $414,197.28 burned per week and $1.656 million burned each month. That is insane.” The publish concluded with the market-cap juxtaposition: “Qubic a lower than 300 million greenback market cap would be the sole miner of a 6 billion greenback market cap coin.”
From the XMR neighborhood aspect, the account @monerobull characterised chain circumstances as unprecedented and urged a hash-rate mobilization: “Monero simply skilled its deepest re-org ever. Everybody head to gupax.io and begin mining. qtip has a halving in 20 days, after which they received’t have the ability to hold this assault going.”
{Hardware}-wallet govt Charles Guillemet, CTO at Ledger, summarized the scenario and its implications in a protracted publish that didn’t mince phrases: “Monero seems to be within the midst of a profitable 51% assault.” He tied the second to Monero’s adversarial historical past and change de-listings: “The privacy-focused blockchain, launched in 2014 and lengthy focused by governments and 3-letters companies, is already banned from most main centralized exchanges.”
On the attacker’s capability, he wrote: “The Qubic mining pool has been amassing hashrate for months and now controls a majority of the community. A significant chain reorganization was detected this morning. With its present dominance, Qubic can rewrite the blockchain, allow double-spending, and censor any transaction.”
Guillemet additionally injected a jaw-dropping back-of-the-envelope value: “Sustaining this assault is estimated to value $75 million per day.” He warned of the motivation collapse for sincere miners—“Different miners are left with no incentive to proceed, as Qubic can merely orphan any competing blocks, successfully changing into the only real miner”—and framed the asymmetry: “In impact, a $300 million market-cap chain is taking up a $6 billion one. Monero’s choices for restoration are restricted, and a full takeover is now doable and even possible.” As to market response, he added: “Up to now, XMR has dropped solely 13%.”
From inside the Qubic challenge, “Come-from-Past” (Sergey Ivancheglo) signaled each triumph and a name for third-party validation: “Appears to be like like #Qubic has achieved 51% over #Monero, we’re ready for impartial confirmations. In the mean time #Monero group is sharpening particulars of their 51% assault safety.”
Responding to earlier accusations about motives, he continued: “Many accused us of being sponsored by 3-letter companies to assault this anon coin. What do you assume now, after we has helped Monero to arrange for its future fights in opposition to these companies?..”
At the same time as Todd underscores that “PoW is probabilistic” and exact majority measurement is elusive within the second, the refrain of on-the-record claims from each critics and proponents paints an image of Monero grappling with a reside, majority-hashrate problem—and a neighborhood dashing to counter it in actual time.
At press time, XMR traded at $252.

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