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Powell puts September rate cut on the table as Bitcoin rises 2% and Fed odds swing to 90%

by Catatonic Times
August 22, 2025
in Analysis
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Bitcoin rises 2% to $114,200 after speech.
Ether rebounds 8% after 12% correction.
US shares achieve 1%, yields drop to 4.27%, gold up 0.6%.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell shifted the market narrative on Friday by signalling {that a} September price reduce is underneath lively consideration, a transfer that rapidly altered expectations throughout world monetary markets.

Talking on the Kansas Metropolis Fed’s Financial Symposium in Jackson Gap, Powell highlighted that draw back dangers to employment are rising and will speed up within the type of layoffs and better unemployment.

This shift in tone despatched shockwaves via each conventional and digital markets, with Bitcoin, equities, bonds, and gold all responding inside minutes of his remarks.

Bitcoin rebounds 2% after latest 10% slide

Bitcoin (BTC) climbed about 2% to $114,200 following Powell’s feedback, reversing a part of a steep decline earlier within the week.

The cryptocurrency had touched a document excessive above $124,000 roughly per week in the past when market confidence in a September price reduce was close to 100%.

Nonetheless, as expectations cooled to 69% within the hours earlier than Powell’s tackle, Bitcoin slumped practically 10% to $112,000.

Information from CME FedWatch confirmed that instantly after Powell’s speech, the chance of a September price reduce jumped again to almost 90%.

This surge in confidence offered assist to digital belongings, which had been underneath strain from fading hopes of imminent financial easing.

Ether bounces 8% after 12% correction

Ethereum (ETH) skilled sharper volatility than Bitcoin in the identical interval.

The coin corrected by about 12% after practically reaching its all-time excessive, reflecting a deeper pullback in speculative tokens.

Nonetheless, ETH bounced practically 8% following Powell’s remarks, highlighting how delicate cryptocurrencies stay to Federal Reserve indicators.

The rebound means that merchants are nonetheless positioning round coverage expectations, with Ether’s sharper swings reflecting increased danger sentiment.

Shares, bonds, and commodities observe swimsuit

Conventional markets mirrored the transfer in digital belongings.

The Nasdaq Composite fell 3% within the days main as much as Powell’s speech as traders priced in fewer possibilities of a price reduce.

Nonetheless, following the shift in tone, US shares gained greater than 1%.

Treasuries additionally rallied, with the 10-year yield falling six foundation factors to 4.27%.

The US greenback index declined about 0.5%, whereas gold costs climbed 0.6%, reflecting a broader transfer into belongings that usually profit from looser financial coverage.

Threat markets present heightened sensitivity to Fed indicators

Within the days main as much as Jackson Gap, merchants had positioned cautiously, anticipating Powell to keep up a hawkish stance.

This contributed to promoting strain throughout danger markets, notably in crypto.

The reversal in tone not solely revived expectations of a September reduce but in addition underscored the fragility of investor sentiment.

The developments spotlight how intently danger belongings stay tied to the Federal Reserve’s coverage outlook.

Bitcoin’s correction and subsequent bounce, together with Ether’s deeper pullback and restoration, present that digital markets are shifting in lockstep with Fed communications, whereas shares, bonds, and commodities replicate comparable dynamics.

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