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Meta’s $4.4 Billion XR Bet

by Catatonic Times
October 30, 2025
in Metaverse
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If there’s one factor Mark Zuckerberg has confirmed over the previous 5 years, it’s that he’s not afraid to burn money for a long-term guess. And proper now, that future nonetheless appears rather a lot like a pair of glasses.

At Meta Join 2025, the CEO doubled down (once more) on his imaginative and prescient that prolonged actuality (XR) will ultimately exchange the smartphone. However as Meta’s newest earnings present, that dream continues to return with a staggering price ticket.

Billions Down the Rabbit Gap

Meta’s Actuality Labs division, dwelling of their Meta Quest headsets and Ray-Ban AI good glasses, reported an working lack of $4.4 billion for the third quarter. The division pulled in $470 million in gross sales, beating Wall Road’s estimates however doing little to melt the affect of a cumulative $70 billion in losses since late 2020.

Zuckerberg’s Lengthy-Time period Wager

As Meta Join 2025 demonstrated, Zuckerberg is betting massive on the way forward for augmented actuality wearables. AI-enabled good glasses had been the star of the present, with the corporate saying the following era of their Ray-Ban collaboration, in addition to a brand new Oakley partnership. Meta is betting that good glasses will ultimately exchange smartphones fully, a imaginative and prescient seemingly shared by Samsung and Apple. Regardless of the numerous losses, Zuckerberg is enjoying the lengthy recreation, hoping that the market will catch on to their tech.

Zuckerberg:

“Everybody who has glasses is fairly shortly going to improve to good glasses over the following decade… and a whole lot of different individuals who aren’t carrying glasses in the present day are going to finish up carrying them, too.”

A Glimmer of Hope Behind the Lenses

The excellent news? Meta’s new Ray-Ban Meta Show glasses look like its first actual hit. Launched in September, the glasses include an built-in show and a neural wristband that reads delicate hand alerts – a leap towards Zuckerberg’s oft-repeated dream of “invisible computing.” Their earlier collaboration bought a formidable 2 million models, albeit at a extra aggressive value of $299. It proves folks need wearable tech – they only wish to look regular whereas doing it.

It’s a delicate however vital shift. The hype round digital worlds has cooled, however the tech underpinning them – sensors, shows, neural interfaces – is discovering new life in AI-driven client {hardware}. As an alternative of coaxing folks into digital areas, Meta appears to be bringing digital intelligence into the bodily world.

The Metaverse Rebranded

Maybe the clearest signal of Meta’s strategic pivot got here quietly this week: Vishal Shah, the chief who had been main the corporate’s metaverse efforts, has been reassigned to Superintelligence Labs as VP of AI merchandise. In company converse, that’s a reshuffling. In business phrases, it’s a rebrand.

Meta doesn’t wish to discuss “the metaverse” anymore – not as a result of it’s lifeless, however as a result of it’s evolving. The identical applied sciences that when powered Horizon Worlds now drive good glasses that perceive their atmosphere, acknowledge objects, and gel with folks’s day-to-day workflows. If the metaverse was about immersion, this new chapter is about integration.

The Multi-Billion Greenback Query 

Meta’s XR story continues to be certainly one of huge funding and unsure reward. But this quarter presents the faintest trace that the tide could also be turning. Customers are starting to purchase – not simply imagine – in Zuckerberg’s lengthy recreation.

The query is how lengthy that recreation can final earlier than buyers lose endurance. With $70 billion sunk into Actuality Labs and profitability nowhere in sight, even a wildly profitable AI glasses launch won’t stability the books anytime quickly.

Simply don’t count on Zuckerberg to blink first…



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