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JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs Hike Recession Odds, Stocks Crash

by Catatonic Times
March 12, 2025
in Bitcoin
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JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs have raised the chances of a recession within the US, the previous citing Donald Trump’s “excessive” insurance policies because the crypto and inventory market crash.

The capitalization of the digital asset market plummeted over 3% within the final 24 hours, with Bitcoin briefly tumbling beneath $80K.

In the meantime, the US inventory market shed greater than $1.7 trillion in worth after President Donald Trump declined to rule out the potential for a recession this yr.

Recession

JPMorgan Raises Recession Odds To 40%

As Trump retains the potential for a recession this yr open, economists at JPMorgan have elevated the chances of a recession to 40%, from 30% beforehand.

“We see a cloth threat that the US falls into recession this yr owing to excessive US insurance policies,” the analysts stated.

Goldman Sachs analysts are additionally bearish, elevating their likelihood of a recession within the subsequent 12 months to twenty% from 15% beforehand.

The analysts warned that the chances of a recession will doubtless proceed except Trump modifications course.

Customers of the decentralized betting platform Polymarket additionally raised the probabilities of a recession in 2025. Within the final month, odds for a contract on the platform have risen 18% to 38%.

Polymarket recession contractPolymarket recession contract

Crypto Concern And Greed Index Indicators ”Excessive Concern” 

Crypto investor sentiment stays fearful. The Crypto Concern and Greed Index presently stands at 24, signaling “Excessive Concern.” This marks a 4-point enhance within the final 24 hours. Nonetheless, the index remains to be down 21 factors in comparison with a month in the past.

In the meantime, Trump financial adviser Kevin Hassett stated in a March 10 interview with CNBC that there are “a variety of causes to be extraordinarily bullish concerning the economic system going ahead.” 

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Tags: CrashGoldmanHikeJPMorganOddsRecessionSachsStocks
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