The latest market-wide crash that despatched the XRP value tumbling to $1.2 earlier than a direct rebound has left merchants questioning whether or not the worst is over. Crypto analyst Steph, in an in depth technical evaluation shared on X, famous that the most recent transfer might be an essential turning level for XRP. Though his outlook acknowledges the potential of restoration, his deeper evaluation of XRP’s chart historical past and key indicators paints a blended image of what lies forward for the cryptocurrency.
Bearish RSI Divergence Echoes 2021 Worth Collapse
In accordance with Steph, XRP’s present construction on the weekly timeframe intently mirrors the 2020 to 2021 cycle that led to a 74% correction. The analyst highlighted a bearish RSI divergence the place the value varieties greater highs whereas the RSI varieties decrease highs, indicating that purchasing momentum is fading at the same time as costs try and climb.
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In his view, this sample has at all times indicated exhaustion in bullish power and the start of corrections. Steph drew comparisons to late 2024, up till July 2025, when XRP’s weekly RSI was declining regardless of rising costs. This setup has now triggered the newest 65% correction that reached a backside over the weekend.
He famous that the correction, which began round July 14, has lasted greater than 80 days, just like the period of the 2021 correction. Based mostly on this, XRP might be nearing the tip of its corrective part earlier than a rebound if historical past repeats itself.
Steph acknowledged that the crypto market’s latest crash was closely influenced by macroeconomic elements, together with the US president’s announcement of a 130% tariff on Chinese language imports, efficient November 1. This shock, mixed with leveraged positions throughout the market, led to the deepest liquidation wicks ever recorded for XRP.
Nonetheless, the analyst believes that XRP has flushed out extreme leverage and cleared liquidity zones round $2.25, and this has set the stage for a doable rebound to greater liquidity targets and new all-time highs above $4. Nevertheless, sustained bullish momentum from right here will depend on reclaiming different essential value ranges.
XRP Worth Ranges To Watch Earlier than Calling A Backside
Regardless of the bullish prediction, you will need to word that XRP continues to be at a technical crossroads that may both be bullish or bearish. The worth has fallen beneath its vary between $2.65 and $2.84, which had served as assist for months. Subsequently, reclaiming at the very least $2.65 on the weekly shut is important to substantiate that the underside is in and that the restoration part has begun.
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In his video, crypto analyst Steph additionally talked in regards to the significance of the 50-week easy shifting common (SMA), which is at present round $2.45. Closing beneath this line has marked the beginning of bear markets for XRP. If we see one or two weekly closes beneath $2.40, then that’s a sign to exit crypto.
The bullish prediction, one that might even lead XRP to new all-time highs, will depend on if it manages a weekly shut above $2.4, breaks above $2.65 and its 50-week SMA, and sustains shopping for power. On the time of writing, XRP is buying and selling at $2.52, up by 2.6% up to now 24 hours.
Featured picture from Getty Photographs, chart from Tradingview.com
