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Arthur Hayes Warns Of Circle Copycat Stablecoin IPO Mania

by Catatonic Times
June 18, 2025
in Bitcoin
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A flood of doomed “Circle copycats” is about to hit the inventory market and traders ought to deal with them like “scorching potatoes,” stated BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes.

In a June 16 weblog put up, Hayes says Circle’s blockbuster New York Stok Alternate debut has kicked off a brand new gold rush. He predicts a wave of stablecoin startups will now attempt to mimic USDC’s issuer by going public, including that almost all will fail spectacularly.

“This cycle’s stablecoin mania has begun,” Hayes stated. “The bubble will pop after the launch of a stablecoin issuer on a public market, almost definitely within the US, that separates fools from tens of billions of capital through the use of a mixture of monetary engineering, leverage, and superb showmanship.”

Regardless of calling Circle’s valuation “insanely overvalued,” Hayes stated copycat listings may initially skyrocket, identical to Circle’s 168% rally. However with out distribution offers with exchanges, banks, or social platforms, he says, “these corporations don’t have any probability of success.” 

Due to their preliminary success, “these new shares will rip the faces off of shorts,” he added. 

Circle

Commerce “Circle Copycats” Like “A Scorching Potato,” Says Arthur Hayes

Hayes predicted a wave of listings from what he referred to as, “Circle Copycats,” who will all attempt to replicate the IPO success of USDC’s issuer. “Commerce this sh*t such as you would a scorching potato,” he stated.

The NYSE welcomes @circle in celebration of its IPO! For over a decade, Circle has linked conventional finance and digital property, looking for to create a safe, always-on digital financial system. $CRCL@jerallaire pic.twitter.com/YnHL34puz7

— NYSE 🏛 (@NYSE) June 5, 2025

His remarks observe Circle’s profitable public debut on the New York Inventory Alternate (NYSE) on June 5, which noticed the corporate’s shares soar 168%.

Hayes stated Circle’s share value will seemingly “proceed levitating” amid progress on pro-crypto and stablecoin laws within the US. That’s because the US Senate prepares to vote on key stablecoin laws later at the moment, which may inject extra momentum into the stablecoin market. 

New Firms In Stablecoin Mania Have Slim Likelihood Of Success

In line with Hayes, any new corporations seeking to capitalize on the stablecoin mania must construct sturdy distribution channels with the intention to succeed. He highlighted crypto exchanges, Web2 social media giants and legacy banks as viable distribution choices.

With out these channels, Hayes says new stablecoin issuers have “no probability of success.” 

He stated that key distribution channels have already been locked up by current gamers, making it harder for brand spanking new corporations to succeed out there.

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