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Analyst Predicts Which Crypto Will Win Perp DEX War

by Catatonic Times
October 2, 2025
in Bitcoin
Reading Time: 5 mins read
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Altcoin markets are bearing witness to a Perp DEX warfare, as the massive weapons battle for supremacy Perp DEX protocols simply cleared a $1Tn month, and one analyst says the near-term winners are lining up. 

Perpetual buying and selling on decentralized exchanges simply crossed a milestone: greater than $1Tn in a single month. The surge highlights how briskly on-chain derivatives are gaining floor, with merchants now weighing which platforms may take the lead.

The Block’s newest information exhibits that September volumes for perpetuals buying and selling on DEXs surpassed $ 1Tn for the primary time, pushed by a battle between Hyperliquid, Aster, and Lighter. 

Crypto analyst “Unipcs” stated at the moment the market is “sufficiently big to accommodate all three” however argued the near-term setup favors Aster (ASTER) and ApeX (APEX). 

many assume the perps DEX commerce is completed

in actuality, the main perps DEX cash solely cooled down a bit earlier than making their subsequent aggressive leg up

– $ASTER went from round $120m market cap to $3.8 billion in a single week = a 3,200% rally– $APEX went from round $0.23 to $2.7 in a single…

— Unipcs (aka ‘Bonk Man’) 🎒 (@theunipcs) October 1, 2025

Hyperliquid (HYPE) stays the amount chief, although tokens throughout the sector are swinging sharply as market share shifts week by week.

DISCOVER: 10+ Subsequent Crypto to 100X In 2025

Why Are Perpetual DEX Volumes Surging Previous $1 Trillion?

Knowledge from DeFiLlama confirms the energy of this breakout: roughly $1.143Tn in 30-day perps quantity as of Thursday. 

(Supply: DeFiLlama)

Lighter introduced its public mainnet launch at the moment, a step prone to put extra stress on incumbents. The rollout coincided with report dashboard readings, including to indicators that perpetual DEXs are coming into a brand new part of progress.

Costs confirmed the break up in dealer sentiment. 

By late afternoon, HYPE hovered at $48-$49 with about $600M in turnover. 

(Supply: Coingecko)

ASTER sat close to $1.80 on $1.1Bn in trades, whereas APEX shifted between $1.45 and $1.90 relying on venue.

Hyperliquid nonetheless holds the deepest books, however its grip has loosened as Aster and Lighter lured circulate with excessive leverage, multi-chain entry, and bonus applications. 

DISCOVER: The 12+ Hottest Crypto Presales to Purchase Proper Now 

Is Aster or Apex Higher Positioned for Quick-Time period Features in Perp DEXs?

BitMEX chief Stephan Lutz stated Wednesday the present perp DEX rush “might shortly fizzle out,” noting that derivatives exercise on centralized exchanges stays excessive. 

His level: on-chain beneficial properties can fade simply as quick if incentives dry up or liquidity splinters.

Unipcs sees the on-chain derivatives market breaking into three lanes: Hyperliquid (HYPE) holds the strongest community results for now, with Aster and Apex positioned as high-beta performs if buying and selling volumes proceed to shift on-chain. 

“The perps DEX business is sufficiently big to accommodate all three,” the word stated, although it harassed that near-term upside seems tilted towards Aster and Apex.

However that view comes with a warning. Analysis from Maelstrom, the household workplace of BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, signifies that Hyperliquid is scheduled to bear two years of token unlocks beginning November 29. 

https://t.co/1BaqtQnxk6

— Maelstrom (@MaelstromFund) September 22, 2025

That might imply roughly $500M in new provide every month, a stress level that merchants are already monitoring.

Competitors is heating up. Lighter’s mainnet has gone dwell, Aster remains to be spending aggressively to realize share, and Hyperliquid continues to defend its liquidity and listings. 

The speedy race can be decided by who can keep a deep ebook of orders, provide fixed incentives, and keep secure markets.

As extra consideration is targeted on perps within the lead-up to the September $1Tn milestone, the approaching months will reveal how a lot of that focus stays on-chain.

DISCOVER: Subsequent 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025

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jrmiller

Jonathan R. Miller is a junior author primarily based in Columbus, Ohio, with a rising deal with blockchain know-how, digital belongings, and fintech innovation. With a background in economics and communications, Jonathan started overlaying cryptocurrency in 2022 by freelance analysis initiatives…
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