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Trumponomics #8: Finding On-Chain Certainty in the Chaos of “Trumponomics”: Analyzing Three Types of Yield-Bearing Crypto Assets | by OKG Research | The Capital | Apr, 2025

by Catatonic Times
April 24, 2025
in Altcoin
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Because the Federal Reserve started its rate of interest hike cycle in 2022, the idea of “on-chain rates of interest” has steadily entered the mainstream. Confronted with a risk-free charge of 4–5% in the actual world, crypto buyers have began reexamining the yield sources and threat constructions of on-chain belongings. A brand new narrative has quietly emerged — yield-bearing crypto belongings — that seeks to create monetary merchandise on-chain to “compete with the macro rate of interest atmosphere.”

Nonetheless, the yield sources of those belongings fluctuate broadly. From money flows generated by the protocol itself to yields based mostly on exterior incentives, and even the incorporation of off-chain rate of interest methods, the underlying constructions replicate vastly totally different sustainability and threat pricing mechanisms. We are able to roughly categorize yield-bearing belongings in decentralized functions (DApps) into three varieties: exogenous yields, endogenous yields, and people linked to real-world belongings (RWA).

The rise of exogenous yields is a mirrored image of the early development logic of DeFi — the place, within the absence of mature person demand and actual money stream, the market substituted with “incentive illusions.” Very like early shared experience platforms that used subsidies to draw customers, after Compound launched “liquidity mining,” ecosystems like SushiSwap, Balancer, Curve, Avalanche, and Arbitrum launched huge token incentives to purchase person consideration and locked belongings.

Nonetheless, these subsidies are basically short-term operations the place capital markets pay for development metrics, somewhat than a sustainable income mannequin. They grew to become the usual for the chilly startup of recent protocols — whether or not Layer 2, modular blockchains, or LSDfi and SocialFi — the motivation logic is identical: counting on new funds or token inflation, resembling a “Ponzi” construction. Platforms use excessive returns to draw deposits, then delay payout by way of advanced “unlocking guidelines.” These annualized yields of lots of or hundreds of p.c had been typically simply tokens “printed” by the platform.

The Terra collapse in 2022 was a first-rate instance: the ecosystem provided as much as 20% annual returns on UST stablecoin deposits by way of the Anchor protocol, attracting many customers. The returns had been primarily depending on exterior subsidies (Luna Basis Reserve and token rewards), not actual revenue from the ecosystem.

From historic expertise, as soon as exterior incentives diminish, giant quantities of backed tokens are bought, damaging person confidence, typically resulting in a downward spiral in TVL (Whole Worth Locked) and token costs. In response to Dune knowledge, following the DeFi Summer season of 2022, roughly 30% of DeFi initiatives noticed their market worth drop by over 90%, typically as a consequence of extreme subsidies.

If buyers are to seek out “steady money flows,” they should be cautious about whether or not an actual worth creation mechanism exists behind the yields. Promising future inflation to pay at this time’s returns is finally not a sustainable enterprise mannequin.

Merely put, protocols generate revenue by way of “actual actions” after which redistribute that revenue to customers. They don’t depend on issuing tokens to draw customers, nor do they rely upon subsidies or exterior injections of capital. As an alternative, they earn income by way of precise enterprise actions corresponding to lending curiosity, transaction charges, or penalties from default liquidations. These revenue streams are considerably just like “dividends” in conventional finance, and are also known as “dividend-like” crypto money flows.

The important thing characteristic of one of these yield is its closed-loop and sustainability: the logic of producing revenue is obvious, and the construction is more healthy. So long as the protocol is operational and has customers, it can generate income with out counting on market sizzling cash or inflation incentives to take care of operations.

Subsequently, understanding how a protocol “creates worth” permits for a extra correct judgment of the understanding of its yields. We are able to categorize one of these revenue into three fundamental archetypes:

Lending Unfold Mannequin: This is likely one of the commonest and simply understood fashions in early DeFi. Customers deposit funds into lending protocols like Aave or Compound, which match debtors with lenders. The protocol earns the unfold between borrowing and lending charges. That is basically the identical because the “deposit-loan” mannequin in conventional banks — curiosity from debtors is partially distributed to lenders as income. This mechanism is clear and environment friendly, however its yield is carefully tied to market sentiment. When total threat urge for food declines or market liquidity shrinks, rates of interest and yields additionally are likely to fall.Price-sharing Mannequin: This yield mechanism is nearer to a profit-sharing construction in conventional firms, the place shareholders or particular companions obtain returns based mostly on income distribution. On this framework, the protocol shares a part of its working revenue (corresponding to transaction charges) with customers who present assets to help the protocol, corresponding to liquidity suppliers (LPs) or token stakers.

For instance, decentralized exchanges like Uniswap distribute a portion of the transaction charges to customers who present liquidity. In 2024, Aave V3 on Ethereum’s mainnet supplied an annualized return of 5%-8% for stablecoin liquidity swimming pools, whereas AAVE stakers may earn over 10% annualized returns throughout sure durations. These revenues come solely from the protocol’s inside financial actions, corresponding to lending curiosity and transaction charges, with out counting on exterior subsidies.

In comparison with the “lending unfold” mannequin, the “fee-sharing” mannequin is extremely depending on the protocol’s market exercise. In different phrases, its returns are instantly tied to the protocol’s enterprise quantity — the extra trades, the upper the rewards; the less trades, the decrease the revenue. Subsequently, its stability and skill to face up to cyclical dangers are sometimes not as sturdy because the lending mannequin.

3. Protocol Service Mannequin: That is probably the most structurally revolutionary kind of endogenous revenue in crypto finance, with logic just like how conventional infrastructure service suppliers cost purchasers for key companies.

For instance, EigenLayer makes use of a “re-staking” mechanism to offer safety help for different methods and receives compensation for doing so. This yield doesn’t depend on lending curiosity or transaction charges however is derived from the market pricing of the protocol’s service capabilities. It displays the market worth of blockchain infrastructure as a “public good.” These returns are extra various and will embody token rewards, governance rights, and even future unrealized returns, showcasing robust structural innovation and long-term potential.

In conventional industries, this may be in comparison with cloud service suppliers (like AWS) charging enterprises for computing and safety companies, or monetary infrastructure establishments (corresponding to custodians, clearinghouses, and ranking businesses) offering belief ensures for methods and incomes income. These companies could indirectly take part in end-user transactions however are important to the general system’s functioning.

On-Chain Actual Curiosity Charges: The Rise of RWA and Curiosity-Bearing Stablecoins

Increasingly more capital available in the market is now looking for a extra steady and predictable return mechanism: on-chain belongings anchored to real-world rates of interest. The core logic behind that is to hyperlink on-chain stablecoins or crypto belongings to off-chain low-risk monetary devices, corresponding to short-term authorities bonds, cash market funds, or institutional credit score, thus sustaining the pliability of crypto belongings whereas acquiring “certainty in rates of interest from the normal monetary world.” Consultant initiatives embody MakerDAO’s allocation to T-Payments, Ondo Finance’s launch of OUSG (linked to BlackRock ETFs), Matrixdock’s SBTB, and Franklin Templeton’s tokenized cash market fund FOBXX. These protocols try and “import” the Federal Reserve’s benchmark rates of interest onto the blockchain as a foundational yield construction. Which means:

On the similar time, interest-bearing stablecoins, as a spinoff type of RWA, have additionally began to take heart stage. Not like conventional stablecoins, these belongings usually are not passively pegged to the greenback however actively embed off-chain yields into the tokens themselves. Typical examples embody Mountain Protocol’s USDM and Ondo Finance’s USDY, which give every day curiosity and derive their yield from short-term authorities bonds. By investing in U.S. Treasury payments, USDY affords customers a steady return, with an rate of interest near 4%, which is way increased than the 0.5% charge of conventional financial savings accounts.

These initiatives intention to reshape the logic of utilizing the “digital greenback,” making it extra like an on-chain “interest-bearing account.”

With the connectivity of RWA, RWA+PayFi can also be a future situation value watching: instantly embedding steady yield belongings into cost instruments, thus breaking the binary division between “belongings” and “liquidity.” On the one hand, customers can get pleasure from interest-bearing returns whereas holding cryptocurrencies, and alternatively, cost eventualities don’t must sacrifice capital effectivity. Merchandise just like the USDC computerized yield account on Coinbase’s Base L2 (just like a “USDC as a checking account”) not solely improve the attractiveness of cryptocurrency in precise transactions but additionally open up new use instances for stablecoins — reworking them from “{dollars} in an account” to “capital in energetic circulation.”

The evolution of crypto “yield-bearing belongings” displays the market’s gradual return to rationality and a redefinition of “sustainable returns.” Initially pushed by excessive inflation incentives and governance token subsidies, many protocols now give attention to self-sustaining mechanisms and integrating off-chain yield curves. The design is shifting away from a “capital-chasing” section, in the direction of extra clear and refined threat pricing. Particularly with macro rates of interest remaining excessive, crypto methods aiming to compete within the international capital market should construct stronger “return rationality” and “liquidity matching logic.” For buyers looking for steady returns, the next three indicators can successfully assess the sustainability of yield-bearing belongings:

Is the supply of returns inherently sustainable?Actually aggressive yield-bearing belongings ought to generate returns from the protocol’s core actions, corresponding to lending curiosity or transaction charges. If the returns rely primarily on short-term subsidies or incentives, it turns into like a “sport of musical chairs”: so long as the subsidies proceed, returns stay; as soon as they cease, funds go away. One of these short-term “subsidy” habits, if become long-term incentives, can deplete challenge funds and simply result in a downward spiral of lowering TVL (Whole Worth Locked) and token costs.Is the construction clear?On-chain belief comes from transparency. When buyers transfer away from the acquainted atmosphere of conventional finance, backed by intermediaries corresponding to banks, how can they assess the state of affairs? Is the stream of funds on-chain clear? Are curiosity distributions verifiable? Is there a threat of concentrated custody? If these points usually are not clarified, it ends in a “black-box” operation, exposing the system’s vulnerabilities. A monetary product with a transparent construction, publicly seen on-chain, and traceable mechanisms is the true underlying assure.Do the returns justify the real-world alternative price?With the Federal Reserve sustaining excessive rates of interest, if the returns of on-chain merchandise are decrease than Treasury invoice yields, will probably be tough to draw rational capital. By anchoring on-chain returns to real-world benchmarks like T-Payments, the returns turn out to be not solely extra steady however may additionally function an “rate of interest reference” on-chain.

Nonetheless, even “yield-bearing belongings” are by no means actually risk-free. Regardless of their steady return constructions, they nonetheless require warning concerning technical, regulatory, and liquidity dangers throughout the on-chain framework. From whether or not the liquidation logic is adequate, as to if protocol governance is centralized, as to if the asset custody preparations behind RWA (Actual-World Belongings) are clear and traceable, these components decide whether or not so-called “sure returns” may be reliably realized.

Furthermore, the marketplace for yield-bearing belongings could characterize a restructuring of the on-chain “cash market construction.” In conventional finance, the cash market performs a central function in funding pricing by way of its rate of interest anchoring mechanism. In the present day, the on-chain world is steadily establishing its personal “rate of interest benchmarks” and “risk-free returns,” making a deeper and extra structured monetary order.



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Tags: AnalyzingAPRAssetsCapitalCertaintychaoscryptoFindingOKGOnchainResearchTrumponomicsTypesYieldBearing
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